See why the 2024 Steelers, led by new QB Aaron Rodgers & WR DK Metcalf, are early betting favorites for their Week 6 clash with the Browns. Analysis on the new roster.
StatPro NFL Beat Reporter
The dust has settled on one of the most transformative offseasons in recent memory, and the verdict is in: the Pittsburgh Steelers mean business. With Aaron Rodgers under center and a roster retooled for maximum physicality, Las Vegas is already showing major respect, installing the team as favorites for their Week 1 opener and a crucial divisional clash. The message from the front office was clear, and the league has taken notice.
With a 21-game home winning streak against the Browns on the line, the Steelers are already 6.5-point favorites for their Week 6 matchup. That's the Aaron Rodgers and DK Metcalf effect.
This isn't your 2024 Steelers. General Manager Omar Khan and Coach Mike Tomlin executed a clear vision this offseason: get tougher and more explosive. The blockbuster moves saw the arrivals of superstar receiver DK Metcalf, tight end Jonnu Smith, and a formidable cornerback duo in Darius Slay and Jalen Ramsey. These additions came at a cost, with notable departures including receiver George Pickens, tackle Dan Moore Jr., and All-Pro safety Minkah Fitzpatrick. The philosophy is undeniable—the front office is betting on proven, physical playmakers to dominate at the line of scrimmage and create the big plays that were missing down the stretch last season.
The newfound optimism isn't just confined to the South Side; it's reflected in the betting markets. The Steelers will march into MetLife Stadium for Week 1 as three-point road favorites against the New York Jets, a testament to the upgrades. Even more telling is the early line for their Week 6 home game against the Cleveland Browns. Pittsburgh is a hefty 6.0 to 6.5-point favorite, a number that respects not only the new-look roster but also the team's staggering 21-game home winning streak against their rivals. While last year's 37-15 win over the Jets was decisive, this year's team is expected to be even more potent.
At the heart of this new era are the two biggest offensive acquisitions. Veteran QB Aaron Rodgers is expected to bring stability and a live arm, with early projections setting his floor at 25 touchdowns, assuming he stays healthy. His new top target, DK Metcalf, is seen as a perfect weapon for Arthur Smith's physical offensive scheme, with oddsmakers expecting him to easily surpass 950 receiving yards. This duo, along with the powerful Jonnu Smith, is tasked with revitalizing a passing attack and giving the Steelers the offensive firepower to match their traditionally stout defense.
The hype and the betting lines are one thing, but the real work begins next week. All eyes will turn to Saint Vincent College as the team reports for training camp. Seeing Aaron Rodgers lead this revamped quarterback room and watching these new pieces mesh together will be the first true test. The expectations are sky-high, and soon we'll get our first glimpse of whether this bold offseason gamble is ready to pay off.