ATL @ INDToday 7:30 PM ET

Aaron Nesmith ^IND

Points — Under 15.5

LineU 15.5

L10

7/10

4/5

Season

5/6

Last 10

70%

7 of 10 decisions

80%

L20

70%

H2H

57%

2026

83%

2025

67%

Average: 13.9Median: 13

Why it might hit

Hit the under in 7 of their last 10 games.
Hit the under in 4 of their last 5 games.
Hit the under in 5 of 6 games this season.

Why it might miss

Nothing stands out in the data.

Projected Starters

ATL	PTS	REB	AST	MIN	GP
N. Alexander-Walker • G	19.3	3.1	2.6	30.1	7
J. Johnson • F	18.3	9	7.9	32.6	7
O. Okongwu • F-C	11.9	7.1	2.6	28.2	7
D. Daniels • G	10.3	5	4.1	28.9	7
C. McCollum • G	14.4	1.9	2.9	25.9	7

IND	PTS	REB	AST	MIN	GP
P. Siakam • F	21.4	7.4	4	32.1	7
A. Nembhard • G-F	18.5	2.2	7.3	32.7	6
A. Nesmith • G-F	12.2	2.2	1.8	23.1	6
K. Oubre Jr. • F-G	9.4	2.6	1.6	23.2	7
J. Huff • C	6	3.3	1	16.7	6

Rotation

ATL	MIN	GP
J. Johnson • F	33	10
N. Alexander-Walker • G	30.8	10
O. Okongwu • F-C	29.2	10
D. Daniels • G	27.2	10
C. McCollum • G	26.9	10
A. Wiggins • G	25.6	7
L. Dort • G	23.7	7
K. Flemings • G	20.3	7

IND	MIN	GP
P. Siakam • F	32.1	7
Q. Jackson • G	22.2	10
J. Walker • F	23.5	9
A. Nembhard • G-F	32.7	6
J. Huff • C	19.2	9
O. Toppin • F	21.3	8
K. Oubre Jr. • F-G	23.2	7
J. Slawson • F	16.3	9

Head to Head

vs ATL 2025-263 games
PTS 17.7 · REB 1.7 · AST 2 · MIN 29.3
vs ATL career18 games
PTS 10.4 · REB 2.9 · AST 1.3 · MIN 22.1

Team Records

Team	All	Home	Away	Div	L10
ATL	3-4	1-2	2-2	1-1	3-4
IND	2-5	0-3	2-2	0-1	2-5

Market

Line 12.5 (unchanged)Implied +1.1 pts toward underSteamBest -124 Caesars

Opening and current under prices by sportsbook
Book	Open	Now	Move
Fanatics	+10011.5	+10011.5	–
DraftKings	-12412.5	-12412.5	–
Caesars	-12412.5	-12412.5	–
BetRivers	-12712.5	-12712.5	–
BetOnline.ag	-12812.5	-12812.5	–
BetMGM	-11011.5	-13012.5	+1.0+4.1 pts
FanDuel	-12812.5	-13012.5	+0.4 pts
Bovada	-23014.5	-28015.5	+1.0+4.0 pts

Open is the first price we recorded.

Open full game board →

Aaron Nesmith IND