UTA @ NOPToday 8:00 PM ET

Jaxson Hayes ^UTA

Points — Under 11.5

Under 11.5

LineU 11.5

L10

9/10

4/5

Season

5/6

Last 10

90%

9 of 10 decisions

80%

L20

85%

H2H

71%

2026

83%

2025

79%

Average: 7.5Median: 7

Why it might hit

Hit the under in 9 of their last 10 games.
Hit the under in 4 of their last 5 games.
Hit the under in 5 of 6 games this season.
Hit the under in 5 of 7 games against NOP.
Hit the under in 4 of 4 road games.

Why it might miss

Nothing stands out in the data.

Projected Starters

UTA	PTS	REB	AST	MIN	GP
D. Peterson • G	13.4	4.3	3.3	30.3	7
L. Markkanen • F-C	16.5	6	1.8	29	6
A. Bailey • F	12.1	7.6	2.1	30	7
J. Hayes • C-F	8.2	6.3	2	25.2	6
K. George • G	19.6	4.3	5.4	30.8	7

NOP	PTS	REB	AST	MIN	GP
T. Murphy III • F	14.9	4.6	3.4	33	7
J. Fears • G	12.9	4.3	4.9	27.2	7
Z. Williamson • F	21.3	5.3	2.7	32.2	7
K. Matković • F-C	10	4.5	0.8	18.2	6
H. Jones • F	7.1	2.7	1	22.1	7

Rotation

UTA	MIN	GP
A. Bailey • F	29.8	9
K. George • G	30.8	7
D. Peterson • G	30.3	7
L. Markkanen • F-C	29	6
J. Hayes • C-F	25.2	6
B. Sensabaugh • F	16.3	9
B. Mbeng • G	44.7	3
I. Collier • G	17.6	7

NOP	MIN	GP
J. Fears • G	31.3	10
D. Queen • C	28.3	10
T. Murphy III • F	33	7
Z. Williamson • F	32.2	7
S. Bey • F	26.2	7
H. Jones • F	22.1	7
D. Murray • G	32.3	4
J. Poole • G	20.7	6

Head to Head

vs NOP 2026-271 games
PTS 17 · REB 5 · AST 2 · MIN 26
vs NOP 2025-264 games
PTS 5 · REB 4.5 · AST 1 · MIN 18.1
vs NOP career12 games
PTS 6.2 · REB 5.3 · AST 0.5 · MIN 17.5

Team Records

Team	All	Home	Away	Div	L10
UTA	1-6	1-4	0-2	0-1	1-6
NOP	3-4	2-2	1-2	1-0	3-4

Market

Line 7.5 → 8.5Implied -1.1 pts toward underSteamBest +102 FanDuel

Opening and current under prices by sportsbook
Book	Open	Now	Move
FanDuel	-1047.5	+1028.5	+1.0-1.5 pts
Caesars	-1348.5	-1058.5	-6.0 pts
DraftKings	+1077.5	-1078.5	+1.0+3.4 pts
BetOnline.ag	-1157.5	-1088.5	+1.0-1.6 pts
Bovada	-28011.5	-28011.5	–

Open is the first price we recorded.

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