MIL @ BOSToday 7:30 PM ET

Jayson Tatum ^BOS

Points — Under 27.5

Under 27.5

LineU 27.5

L10

7/10

3/5

Season

4/7

Last 10

70%

7 of 10 decisions

60%

L20

80%

H2H

50%

2026

57%

2025

94%

Average: 24.8Median: 23

Why it might hit

Hit the under in 7 of their last 10 games.
Hit the under in 3 of their last 5 games.
Hit the under in 4 of 6 home games.

Why it might miss

Nothing stands out in the data.

Projected Starters

MIL	PTS	REB	AST	MIN	GP
M. Turner • C-F	8	5.1	2.1	26.9	7
T. Herro • G	21.9	5	4	30.3	7
J. Jaquez Jr. • G	16.6	7.3	2.9	28.2	7
B. Burries • G	8.9	4.4	1.3	17.3	7
K. Kuzma • F	10	6.4	2.9	26.3	7

BOS	PTS	REB	AST	MIN	GP
J. Tatum • F-G	27	6	7.9	35.1	7
D. White • G	11.1	3.1	4.9	29.9	7
B. Scheierman • G	5.4	3.3	1.3	19.9	7
N. Queta • C	9.9	5.4	1.1	21.7	7
H. González • G	3.7	2.3	0.6	12.6	7

Rotation

MIL	MIN	GP
A. Green • G	24.7	10
M. Turner • C-F	26.8	8
T. Herro • G	30.3	7
R. Rollins • G	26	8
K. Kuzma • F	25.6	8
J. Jaquez Jr. • G	28.2	7
O. Dieng • F	20.4	8
K. Jakučionis • G	22.4	7

BOS	MIN	GP
D. White • G	32.3	10
J. Tatum • F-G	35	9
P. Pritchard • G	29.8	10
N. Queta • C	23.1	10
S. Hauser • F	21	10
P. George • F	31	6
B. Scheierman • G	18.6	10
J. Walsh • G	15.2	10

Head to Head

vs MIL 2025-261 games
PTS 23 · REB 11 · AST 9 · MIN 31.1
vs MIL career45 games
PTS 21.3 · REB 6.8 · AST 3.6 · MIN 35

Team Records

Team	All	Home	Away	Div	L10
MIL	1-6	1-3	0-3	1-2	1-6
BOS	5-2	4-0	1-2	2-0	5-2

Market

Line 27.5 (unchanged)Implied -0.7 pts toward underSteamBest -105 DraftKings

Opening and current under prices by sportsbook
Book	Open	Now	Move
DraftKings	-12327.5	-10527.5	-3.9 pts
BetOnline.ag	-11227.5	-11227.5	–
Caesars	-12427.5	-11827.5	-1.2 pts
FanDuel	-12227.5	-12527.5	+0.6 pts
Bovada	-26031.5	-27532.5	+1.0+1.1 pts

Open is the first price we recorded.

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