Props
Every pick we rate elite or strong, graded after the game against the result and the closing line. Wins and losses stay up.
On average the market moved against our picks before game time. We have not shown an edge yet, and we would rather say so than hide it.
Elite and strong picks: 164-272, −1.8 units. Behind the closing line so far.
| Tier | Record | Hit rate | Units | Return | Beat the close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elite | 52-67 | 43.7% | +14.4 | +12.1% | −2.0 pts |
| Strong | 112-205 | 35.3% | −16.2 | −5.1% | −2.4 pts |
| Playable | 252-285 | 46.9% | +8.8 | +1.6% | −2.3 pts |
| Fade (we say skip) | 1887-2107-2 | 47.2% | −446.6 | −11.2% | −2.6 pts |
| Market (elite and strong) | Record | Hit rate | Units | Return | Beat the close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBIs | 28-78 | 26.4% | −3.7 | −3.5% | −2.9 pts |
| Runs | 17-43 | 28.3% | −12.3 | −20.6% | −3.3 pts |
| Walks | 19-35 | 35.2% | +3.6 | +6.6% | −2.7 pts |
| H+R+RBI | 26-20 | 56.5% | +6.3 | +13.7% | −2.1 pts |
| Total Bases | 21-22 | 48.8% | +1.7 |
Elite and strong picks: 701-727, +3.4 units. Behind the closing line so far.
| Tier | Record | Hit rate | Units | Return | Beat the close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elite | 122-143 | 46.0% | +5.8 | +2.2% | +0.4 pts |
| Strong | 579-584 | 49.8% | −2.5 | −0.2% | −0.8 pts |
| Playable | 1658-1836 | 47.5% | −187.2 | −5.4% | −1.8 pts |
| Fade (we say skip) | 12282-12076-2 | 50.4% | −1513.7 | −6.2% | −2.8 pts |
Elite and strong picks: 904-947-3, −26.6 units. Behind the closing line so far.
| Tier | Record | Hit rate | Units | Return | Beat the close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elite | 382-386-2 | 49.7% | +6.5 | +0.8% | −2.3 pts |
| Strong | 522-561-1 | 48.2% | −33.1 | −3.1% | −1.6 pts |
| Playable | 2727-2922-3 | 48.3% | −442.2 | −7.8% | −2.6 pts |
| Fade (we say skip) | 21229-20969-26 | 50.3% | −2245.9 | −5.3% | −2.8 pts |
StatPro Pro shows the Edge score and our verdict on every prop, the full board sorted by edge and the best price across books.
| +3.9% |
| −1.9 pts |
| Hits | 23-17 | 57.5% | +3.8 | +9.5% | −1.1 pts |
|---|
| Stolen Bases | 6-29 | 17.1% | −12.4 | −35.4% | −1.5 pts |
|---|
| Pitcher Strikeouts | 4-7 | 36.4% | −2.6 | −23.4% | −2.4 pts |
|---|
| Moneyline | 8-4 | 66.7% | +6.6 | +55.1% | – |
|---|
| Pitcher Outs | 3-7 | 30.0% | −4.4 | −43.5% | +0.7 pts |
|---|
| Hits Allowed | 5-2 | 71.4% | +3.4 | +48.3% | −1.5 pts |
|---|
| Home Runs | 1-4 | 20.0% | +9.0 | +180.0% | – |
|---|
| Spread | 3-1 | 75.0% | +2.2 | +55.2% | – |
|---|
| Earned Runs | 0-1 | 0.0% | −1.0 | −100.0% | +2.5 pts |
|---|
| Walks Allowed | 0-1 | 0.0% | −1.0 | −100.0% | −6.7 pts |
|---|
| Game total | 0-1 | 0.0% | −1.0 | −100.0% | −0.9 pts |
|---|
| Market (elite and strong) | Record | Hit rate | Units | Return | Beat the close |
|---|
| Points | 246-238 | 50.8% | −4.2 | −0.9% | −1.2 pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | 210-209 | 50.1% | +3.8 | +0.9% | −0.5 pts |
| Assists | 195-196 | 49.9% | +12.2 | +3.1% | −0.1 pts |
| Moneyline | 27-68 | 28.4% | −13.6 | −14.3% | – |
| Game total | 19-6 | 76.0% | +11.5 | +45.9% | −1.4 pts |
| Spread | 4-10 | 28.6% | −6.3 | −45.1% | – |
| Market (elite and strong) | Record | Hit rate | Units | Return | Beat the close |
|---|
| Receptions | 351-292 | 54.6% | +83.4 | +13.0% | −1.4 pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 166-145 | 53.4% | +0.9 | +0.3% | −2.7 pts |
| Rushing Yards | 101-83 | 54.9% | +8.9 | +4.8% | −2.7 pts |
| Moneyline | 41-111 | 27.0% | −26.2 | −17.3% | – |
| Rush Attempts | 61-81 | 43.0% | −22.2 | −15.6% | −2.0 pts |
| Completions | 37-38 | 49.3% | −3.9 | −5.2% | −1.7 pts |
| Pass TDs | 22-49 | 31.0% | −30.9 | −43.5% | −0.6 pts |
| Passing Yards | 26-35 | 42.6% | −12.9 | −21.2% | −3.2 pts |
| Interceptions | 22-31 | 41.5% | −11.2 | −21.2% | −0.7 pts |
| Rush + Receiving Yards | 22-26 | 45.8% | −6.6 | −13.7% | −3.1 pts |
| Pass Attempts | 26-19 | 57.8% | +4.7 | +10.4% | −2.0 pts |
| Pass + Rush Yards | 17-16 | 51.5% | −0.9 | −2.9% | −3.2 pts |
| Spread | 5-15-3 | 25.0% | −10.1 | −50.6% | – |
| Game total | 7-6 | 53.8% | +0.5 | +3.8% | −1.3 pts |
| Pass + Rush + Receiving Yards | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | – | – |