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Patrick Mahomes
KC

Patrick Mahomes pass tds prop

KCKC @ ATLSun 1:00 PM ET

Pass TDs · Over 1.5FanDuel

Over 1.5
LineO 1.5
L10
L5
Season
Best pricePro
VerdictPro

See how our picks have done against the closing line

Advanced filtersNone
Teammate participation

Checking verified participation…

Final score filters

Team points means this player’s team score, not combined game points. Team margin is team points minus opponent points; negative values mean a loss.

Last 10

60%

6 of 10 decisions

L5

60%

L20

55%

H2H

100%

2026

75%

2025

36%

Average: 1.4Median: 2

Why it might hit

  • Hit the over in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • Hit the over in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • Hit the over in 6 of 8 games this season.

Why it might miss

Nothing stands out in the data.

Accessible game log · 10 games
DateWeekOpponentActualLineResult
Nov 8, 2026Wk 9NYJ · home21.5hit
Nov 1, 2026Wk 8DEN · away31.5hit
Oct 25, 2026Wk 7SEA · away01.5miss
Oct 18, 2026Wk 6LAC · home01.5miss
Oct 4, 2026Wk 4LV · away21.5hit
Sep 27, 2026Wk 3MIA · away21.5hit
Sep 20, 2026Wk 2IND · home31.5hit
Sep 14, 2026Wk 1DEN · home21.5hit
Dec 14, 2025Wk 15LAC · home01.5miss
Dec 7, 2025Wk 14HOU · home01.5miss

10 eligible games · L10

Cohort method and source coverage

Last 10 eligible games · regular season · all locations · any result · 10 games

Phase, location, result, final score, and verified teammate participation apply before the window.

History is limited to the retained data window.

Supporting stats

From the same games selected above.

Attempts by selected game

10 of 10 games measured · average 32.40 · per-game median 30.50

DateOpponentActual
Nov 8, 2026vs NYJ31.00
Nov 1, 2026@ DEN41.00
Oct 25, 2026@ SEA33.00
Oct 18, 2026vs LAC30.00
Oct 4, 2026@ LV30.00
Sep 27, 2026@ MIA24.00
Sep 20, 2026vs IND47.00
Sep 14, 2026vs DEN27.00
Dec 14, 2025vs LAC28.00
Dec 7, 2025vs HOU33.00

Snap participation

Per-game averages from the same final chart cohort. Zero snaps remain measured zeroes.

Offense snaps

—

0 of 10 games measured

Offense snap share

—

0 of 10 games measured

Defense snaps

—

0 of 10 games measured

Defense snap share

—

0 of 10 games measured

Special teams snaps

—

0 of 10 games measured

Special teams snap share

—

0 of 10 games measured

Verified snap participation is unavailable for these selected games.

Play-by-play research

Observed plays from the games selected above.

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